What really gets me going is the realization of how much more value people would produce if they could own their lives outright instead of renting it from one boss to the next. There'd be less "work" of the traditional, low-productivity, subordinate zombie sense, but a lot more getting done.
I want to see BI not because I have an interest in not working. Rather, I want it to free people to work. Work is too important (both as a human need, and as a productive force in society) to leave it in the hands of the entrenched boss men who currently own Work.
It would be such an excuse-killer, too, to implement BI and get rid of compulsory labor. People could no longer justify making so little of their lives due to having to work. Now, it turns out to still be quite hard to make something of one's life but, when that excuse is gone, the only thing to say is "Yes, it's hard; but go on, do it."
Sometimes I wonder, though, if we invented institutional Work to justify mediocrity, and make it OK. It's often portrayed as an oppression brought in by deceptive, aggressive Boss Men; but I also think people willingly participate because it's a way to substitute mediocre/subordinate social acceptance for the much more intermittent reward/thrill of genuine work. Boss men definitely were more principal in driving Work to its current state, but it was a coevolution.
I have experienced the end result of this as I happened to be born in the USSR. There was not that much more value, quite the opposite - "poor" people in the USA nowadays live much better than not just the middle but most of the ruling class in the USSR.
BI is NOT communism. We are not trying to abolish private property or wealth disparities or social classes. In fact, we're trying to make the market even free-er: right now the supply of labor is rigid (everyone must work to live) but supply exceeds demand so the free market sends the price of labor to 0. There are two alternatives: let the supply of labor drop via BI or establish price controls on labor (or pray for the economy to keep growing, but that ship has sailed). Price controls shift the problem around and don't solve the underlying issue: supply exceeds demand. Unfortunately, we have chosen price controls over letting the market equilibrate itself.
ANY solution that solves the supply-exceeds-demand issue of labor MUST either create leeches (decrease supply) or continuously grow the economy (increase demand). I think it's easier to create the leeches and call them a cost of doing business. BI is the supply-side economics of labor.
Incidentally (this is unrealted because BI is not communism), I'm not convinced that the USSR failed because of communism/socialism/stalinism/capitalism/whatever. I'm no historian, but it looks like what happened is that the US fought an economic war with the USSR via an arms race. We spend a $ on our military to force them to sped a $ on theirs. They ran out of money first because they had a smaller economy coming out of WWII. This opinion is not very well researched or highly informed (I base it off starcraft strategy, heh). Please tell me if I have gone wrong; I will be neither surprised nor offended.
I agree that the USSR had not fell because of the communism per se. It's been destroyed by the apathy, caused by people getting their basic needs covered without the need to work.
When they started - they've got a boost in productivity, even higher than the article describes. They've built up quite a lot in the 1920s-1930s. However, as the workforce become filled with the generations that took this system for granted, its effect turned into the opposite direction and by 1970s, as the last pre-revolutionary generation retired, there had been very few people left who actually wanted to do anything productive. The country went along for a while selling oil and other natural resources but the oil prices dropped in 80s and that was the end of it. There was just not enough oil any more to feed the whole country of 250M people.
Hmm, actually I think we still disagree about the reason for the fall of the USSR (I hesitate to say "disagree" because I don't hold my opinion strongly, I was tossing it out to solicit opposing opinions). What you described sounds very much like falling due to communism. I have heard a quote "They pretend to pay us, we pretend to work," and I suppose my question is which side caused the ohter. My opinion was that "they pretend to pay us" came first (the domestic economy collapsed under military spending) and "we pretend to work" followed. Do you think this is true or do you think it happened the other way around?
I cannot believe that starvation and apathy could coexist, so at some point the USSR's system must have prevented people from working for additional income, yes? In this case, the distinction between BI and communism becomes apparent: if the supply of labor falls below demand in BI, wages rise until people go back to work. Companies function as usual and are free to fire lazy workers. If food becomes more expensive, wages effectively fall until farmers can hire enough help (human or otherwise) to crank production back up again.
This is a quote from a stand up comedian, Michail Zhvanetskiy I believe. I don't think it describes the economy in the USSR very well even though it's catchy and funny.
People considered working as some out of ordinary experience. For instance there were so-called "student construction squads" (строительные отряды, ССО) that consisted of young people, usually students, who toured the countryside and doing whatever construction work they could find (and there was a lot). This was a very well paid job and you could make a year of normal salary in a few months. People joined those to make enough money to buy new furniture or car etc. and after that returned to slacking off at their government job/study. There had been many more outlets like this so there were ways of getting reward for hard work. However very few entertained the idea of doing this full time.
There have been a number of BI experiments and the results have so far been universal, initial growth followed by stagnation.
The challenge is to create productive work for these people so that they can earn an income. Some of the Chinese 'make work' projects have been interesting in that regard but they are not a final solution.
What might be a more durable system would be to create a manufacturing plant that these folks could work in. It doesn't have to be complex, could be as simple as making cinder block for building construction. It has to be run as a business in the sense that standards are set and checked and people are paid based on their production. You have to be rigidly scrupulous about keeping corruption out of it, this is a lot harder than you estimate. Ideally the production is consumed in other projects. (like building buildings or railroads or other factories).
Do you have any references to these experiments that were followed by stagnation? I only found a few experiments listed here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_income_guarantee and all appeared to have positive outcomes with no mention of stagnation.
In Spain something similar has been used for decades now. It's called PER , rural employment plan, it's not exctly BI, as people Is supposed to earn the pay with days recolecting fruits or olives. But there is a lot of fraud and most people avoids doing them but they still receive the paycheck.
Initially it was done to improve the poverty of that country zones, and it certainly has improved, but people has become adicted to the free money and that region is perpetually low growth figures. Peole just works the necesary to live, you must add tha the climate is pretty good and is easy to be at a terrace all day having a coffe or some beers.
This system also is prone to ballot buys by local policians. Every time someone wants to reduce the payments she looses lots of votes.
I think that on it's own BI will improve the living conditions of people dramatically, but on the long run will need to be substituted and complemented by other system.
By "it's not exactly BI," you mean "it's not at all BI."
The core premise and compelling logic of BI comes from the fact that it is simple, not-gameable, and, most importantly, doesn't have huge disincentive effects at the margin as benefits phase out.
PER sounds like it runs headlong into all of those issues. By the standard you're using to critique BI using PER, I could just as well point to PER to critique markets as a whole.
It´s not just a critique, I was writing fast from the iphone and I haven´t explained my point completely.
I think that in places like that small towns where people is "owned" by the landlord and a vicious circle of debt and low wages, it´s a necessary to use a system like BI to brake the chains and improve the living conditions. In fact in Spain country living conditions in certain areas, used to be quite similar to those of india(surely not that extreme, but not that far off at the beginning of the XX century). People lived in towns that where inside big landlords (most of them old nobility). The landlord used to be like a small king in their lands able to change the fate of families, that have to pay land rents.
So the public wages was a big help to end that problem (that and the emigration to the cities that reduced the population).
But there is moment when this no-conditions money just keeps people from improving further. You may see it as an engine starter, without it, is impossible to start the engine, if you stop it too early, the whole engine will stop again, but if you keep it engaged it will drag the engine and keep it from working properly.
What about the system that was at work in communist Poland (and other USSR sattelites, I believe)?
There was obligation to work, unless you were sick. You could choose your trade, and if you were lazy/stupid/handicapped you were offered job that weren't demanding. Salaries were centrally planed, as was prices. The end effect was - less than 1% unemployement, huge drop in efficiency, no creativity boost to speak of.
I wonder if BI experiments suffer from observer bias - if the experiment was going bad it would be stopped, or at least people participating may think it would be. It's usually small community so they know who isn't working, and they can influence him.
If you were to introduce BI on huge scale, in a way that people take it for granted, I think the results would be much worse (and much more realistic).
You leave out the part where the USSR and other centrally planned economies had to balance linear systems of billions of variables by hand (and rudimentary computers). And where they had to invent from scratch an ideal allocation of goods and services, which tended to represent what was best for the Soviet state and its bureaucrats at the expense of consumer goods and entrepreneurial capital.
People react to incentives. In the Soviet Union, "they pretended to pay us, and we pretended to work": although workers certainly received money in exchange for labor, increasing the amount of money you had did not typically increase the goods and services available to you, as the price system was so messed up that real prices were measured in waiting times and political favors.
A basic income avoids that trap because it leverages the distributed computation of the market to set prices. People will still be at least as entrepreneurial as they are now, because there's the opportunity for huge, outsized profits for both the entrepreneur and the provider of capital.
Also note that most salary workers nowadays make far in excess (typically 50k+) of what the minimum income would provide (on the order of 10k). Most of us here could work for a year, survive on what the minimum income would provide, and then have enough savings left over for nearly another decade at minimum income levels. But we don't do that, because we want more, and that wouldn't change with a minimum income.
Yes, OTOH, economists need to realise that "there is indeed a free lunch" at lots of places, especially in sunny and humid areas. If you can eat with almost zero effort, you will probably not put any more effort in anything. Tropical countries are very much influenced by this.
I try to follow BI, and although the BI experiments I've heard of certainly have had cons to go along with the pros (spiraling costs in Manitoba, for instance), "stagnation" has never been one. I'd love to see that study.
I've gone back and looked for the paper I read on BI and have yet to find it sadly. It was published in the late 90's and and I believe it came out of Harvard but I'm less confident about that origin. Basically my in-laws were big fans of South America and were thinking about emigrating to Argentina [1] in 92 - 93 and had mentioned they were experimenting with BI as a way of mitigating crime in the slums. That lead me to look into whether or not it worked and I found the article which basically confirmed my suspicions. Sadly Google Scholar doesn't have nearly as many pre-1999 journal articles as it does post 1999. Scholar did turn up this article [2] which I've downloaded to my iPad to read.
One of those moments where I bemoan my lack of access to closed scientific research. =)
The abstract suggests that it is looking at means tested and conditional benefits, including programs to "guarantee a minimum income": that should not be confused with a basic income, despite the similarity in terminology.
In the literature when people refer to a guaranteed minimum income they're referring to the government supplementing a person's income up to some predefined level. This makes it significantly cheaper than a basic income, because people who "don't need it" aren't receiving the income; but a really nasty side effect of that, as with nearly all welfare programs, is that it creates incredibly steep effective marginal tax rates. The simplest design--looking at someone's income, and filling it up until it hits the desired minimum--in fact leads to a 100% marginal tax rate, because a dollar earned from work is a dollar lost in benefits.
This means there's absolutely no incentive to work before you've made the minimum; contrast it to the unconditional basic income, where even someone who's only capable of producing half the value of the basic income is fully incentivized to do that work. So you avoid the deadly (literally!) welfare trap where the government actively punishes you for finding work.
I don't know if you are in the US or not but our local city library can get journals on inter-library loan. Stanford used to have an affordable non-student library card fee but it has since gone through the roof. That said you can often do the legal part of what Aaron Schwartz did which is use the WiFi in a college library and get access to their journal subscription but this only works well if you already know what articles you want. And Google Scholar can be good for that but not as good before 1999 sadly.
I recognize the difference between BI and GMI as strategies but just so you know they are often both talked about in the same papers as they are both approaches to putting capital to work effectively amongst the poorest.
Most of the Basic Income proposals I've heard don't go as far as covering basic needs very well; meanwhile there will be money available working to provide for people who aren't able to get enough of their needs currently met. And if you want nice things, you'll still have to work.
There aren't zero parallels to the USSR, but it's really not going as far, and I expect the human responses to be different.
Neither the basic needs were covered very well in the USSR, at least as I've been growing up in 80s. E.g. jeans already had been a luxury item. Housing, medicine etc. available for the most people were way below "poor" of the western world. I grew up in a 12 m^2 room in a 3-room flat shared with another family and was lucky, because many of my parents colleagues lived in dorms.
I am aware that the BI proponents believe that jealousy is a stronger drive than apathy. And this is undoubtedly true for some fraction of humanity. I just think they overestimate how big is this fraction.
Not jealousy per-se, but the drive to want more. People work long after basic needs are met.
I admit my understanding is somewhat shallow, but I think the problem with the USSR had at least as much to do with price controls as any cash transfers. In a capitalist system with BI, if there's a labor shortage the wages paid to labor will increase and the price of goods will increase accordingly, and people will be motivated to take those jobs as the BI payments shrink in purchasing power. The HUGE advantage is that when there is a labor surplus, those people that remove themselves from the work force (voluntarily, involuntarily, or semi-voluntarily) still play a role in aggregate demand.
It does not matter what you call it but people who had their basic needs covered for generations do not just go and work because they want more. Some do, most - don't. Even as the USSR had been crumbling down and the cheap government goods had became hard to find people would rather go and line up for many hours to buy everyday groceries than do something to earn more money and buy much better goods without much hassle.
This phenomenon is not very noticeable on small scale (both in population and time). So I'd recommend paying a closer attention to the USSR history and being a bit critical to the "we overspent them" or "they did not do socialism right, duh" explanations. In my opinion, if it's been possible to overspend a superpower that had its own spaceships then overspending small fry like Libya, North Korea or Iran would not take any time at all. And free market just does not work when people have their basic needs covered.
There also had been very small free market in the USSR and it was so small not because communists had been screwing with it (at least not more than the western governments screw with their markets), it's been small because most people just ignored it. If they could not find something in the government store then they would not buy it, even if they could afford the free market price.
While I'll certainly give it some more thought, and grill my acquaintances who have more than a passing familiarity with the subject (both natives and academics), I am still not sure it's a very good model for the generic circumstance of handing out some chunk of value for people to build on; there are way too many confounding factors.
Those in the USSR didn't suffer only the meeting of their needs, but also a constraining of their hopes; the cultural mythology glorified the state, not individual achievement; quotas frequently lead to poor results; and, quite importantly, I would expect that outright oppression contributes something to the breaking of a people - I believe there were several examples of groups taking initiative to better their lot and winding up dead, which seems strong incentive not to try.
What actually contributed to the "fall" of the USSR is a somewhat orthogonal question. A decline in worker efforts certainly might have contributed. I've been under the impression that a significant problem was the politicization of scientific and economic questions, in ways that just didn't square well with reality - I know that in particular they were slow to take up computers, and an ideological commitment to Lamarckian evolution lead to poor agricultural planning.
Once you're in a cold war, it makes sense to play to your strengths. Capitalism, as an economic system, is better at producing weapons because it's better at producing anything, and producing a lot of weapons is a good way to get the other side to try and keep up. It's like developing a massive tolerance to alcohol so you can drink people under the table.
ANY solution that solves the supply-exceeds-demand issue of labor MUST either create leeches (decrease supply) or continuously grow the economy (increase demand). I think it's easier to create the leeches and call them a cost of doing business.
There is a second option on the demand side: Instead of trying to grow the economy, hoping that more demand for labor follows indirectly via the private sector, you could just create the demand for labor directly.
This is what Job Guarantee-style proposals are about: Creating a virtually infinite demand for labor at a fixed wage. This can unlock the same kind of creativity as BI is supposed to unlock if a wide enough range of things is defined as "work in the public interest" (basically, anything except sit at home and watch TV / browse reddit) and falls under the scheme.
There are other advantages (and some disadvantages). In any case, it's good to really keep all the options in mind.
I'm not convinced that the USSR failed because of communism/socialism/stalinism/capitalism/whatever. I'm no historian, but it looks like what happened is that the US fought an economic war with the USSR via an arms race.
This is a very interesting topic that I would indeed like to know more about as well. The USSR economy grew faster and more consistently over the entire period of communism than both the US (and other Western) economies, and also faster than the economies of less-well developed countries. However, because it started from a much lower base in the early 20th century, they still hadn't caught up when they finally lost this economic war.
Objectively speaking, communism worked better for them than capitalism worked for the West. They lost because they failed to call the US' bluff after both of them had already built up nuclear arsenals so large that any further arms race would have been moot.
That doesn't mean communism is universally better. In the direct comparison of West Germany vs. East Germany, which started from a comparable position after WWII, West Germany clearly wins, and many East Germans really did want to leave.
Still, this all suggests that you can't ascribe it all to "communism bad, capitalism good".
>The USSR economy grew faster and more consistently over the entire period of communism than both the US (and other Western) economies...
That's really a problem with measures if economic growth though. Economic production measures are independent if whether that production is efficient or even necessary at all. A bridge to nowhere contributes to growth. The USSR economy was appallingly inefficient. The fact remains that the least worst method we have for ensuring efficiency in an economy is well regulated markets. The further your economy strays from either market forces (e.g. Centeal plannng) or good regulation (banking crisis), the less efficient it gets.
One of the biggest advantages of the basic income is that it does not run afoul of all the information and computational issues that central planning does.
You have no issues trying to balance linear systems with billions of variables, for basic income uses the huge distributed calculation embodied in the market to get to its optimal allocations.
You have no issues of deciding what exactly is the objective function to maximize in the linear system: instead of trying to figure out globally what the correct ratio of vacations to medical care to private tutors to gardeners (ad... billionum) is, you let individuals decide that. The only quantity where that comes into play is the ratio of the basic income to overall value of production. And even when that's set either too high or too low, the allocation errors propagated by it do not cascade into disaster the same way underproduction of iron by 3% would be.
That would usually be a fair point, except you missed the point where USSR economic growth also beat the growth rates of less or comparably developed countries that were not communist, e.g. the Southern American countries turned capitalist under US influence.
So a point in favor of communism remains.
In any case, the true lesson is probably that communism vs. capitalism just doesn't matter as much as people want you to believe. Other factors -- such as whether institutions are inclusive (targeting the welfare of the entire population) or exploitative (transferring wealth towards a small elite) -- simply matter more.
>Incidentally (this is unrealted because BI is not communism), I'm not convinced that the USSR failed because of communism/socialism/stalinism/capitalism/whatever. I'm no historian, but it looks like what happened is that the US fought an economic war with the USSR via an arms race. We spend a $ on our military to force them to sped a $ on theirs. They ran out of money first because they had a smaller economy coming out of WWII. This opinion is not very well researched or highly informed (I base it off starcraft strategy, heh). Please tell me if I have gone wrong; I will be neither surprised nor offended.
I don't know if you are right about this or not, but if it's true it seems ridiculous, at least in hindsight. Once you have nuclear weapons, spending money on the military, at least to deter potential invaders, won't help much more.
Another narrative is that centrally planned economies tend to go under because once you increase market place participation via provision for basic education and industry to the same levels as everwhere else you have to increase the per-capita production and that's something that's very hard to do without the insights that come from actually working as part of the individual industries.
Which is to say that centrally planned economies have a lot of low hanging fruit for countries that aren't very advanced to start off with, when the fixes are still fairly simple, but are crippled in the long term as the complexity/fluidity of the problem goes up.
Don't forget that it comes out of the excess of those who do decide to work. I'm not confident that if this was rolled out globally, there would be enough people who really decide to "make something of their lives" to support the system. Sure, a lot of them will hate themselves if they don't, but, honestly now, how often does that stop laziness? Don't look at yourself to answer, look at the culture.
Other studies show, however, that it has diminishing returns, especially as it leads to poverty/ghetto culture. However this is changing with technology, internet and mobile phones. People are more docile than in the 90s with the gangsta rap craze.
Rap, not rape. Well I could share statistics which clearly show a major rise in violent crime by urban youth in the 90s, with a major decline afterwards, and there could be several explanations for that.
As for "ghetto culture" - I am referring to the statistics on single mothers / teen mothers in urban ghetto neighborhoods, and the amount of violence, drug use and drug dealing and done by chronically unemployed males who are feeling disenfranchised and without a purpose. Note that poverty by itself is not the main factor - the same neighborhoods before welfare (50-60 years ago) which retained similar demographics in terms of race saw far leas of either one of these phenomena. The culture was certainly different, with a greater emphasis on productive labor, two parent households, and responsibility. And I say all this to show the diminishing returns from welfare, because the welfare class will be expanding to include more and more people as automation takes over.
First of all, gangster rap is still extremely popular among youth.
> Well I could share statistics which clearly show a major rise in violent crime by urban youth in the 90s, with a major decline afterwards, and there could be several explanations for that.
Several easy to spot deterrents of youth crime implemented in the 90s:
- Zero Tolerance in schools (automatic expulsion if you have anything that even looks like a weapon)
- If you commit a violent crime as a juvenile these days you're likely to get tried and sentenced as an adult (specifics depending on state)
As for teen mothers, I can't contribute much to that discussion - but the CDC's data on 15-19 year olds shows a marked and consistent drop in birth rates from 1990 to 2010. [1]
> violence, drug use and drug dealing... done by chronically unemployed males who are feeling disenfranchised and without a purpose.
Although not socially accepted, it is often treated as a job; I'd also advise caution in trying to limit drug use and dealing to specific demographics.
On the topic of welfare, you'd probably be surprised how many college students make use of food stamps these days.
Yes, as far as the assaults among urban youth, perhaps active policies are able to provide good explanations for the decline in violence. I for one believe that culture usually plays a larger role than is commonly admitted in politics, where the emphasis is often on punishment (e.g. for drug dealing) when the same money could, in my opinion, have been spent more productively on prevention / education / culture change in various communities. The recent Obama administration move to treat drugs as a public health issue seems to be going in this direction.
As far as teen mothers -- yes, overall it's been a drop, but that just underscores the disconnect with what's happening with poor urban youth:
"Teen pregnancy rates in New York City (NYC) are consistently higher than in the United States (US) overall, particularly among blacks and Hispanics and within poor neighborhoods."
I think the teen pregnancy phenomenon is part of a larger phenomenon of people having children out of wedlock, and then the mothers raising them as single parents. When it's the norm to have the state provide funds to help raise the children, it creates a moral hazard and affects the culture in communities which are highly dependent on welfare.
As far as actual drug use and drug dealing, I'm not knowledgeable enough to get into details, except to note that the War on Drugs seems to have produced some pretty sad results. 20% of the inmates are in prison for recreational drug related offenses, and the amount of youths from poor neighborhoods is alarmingly high. I would say that this War on Drugs has, among other things, been affected by the negative side effects of the welfare state and minimum wage laws. I agree with Thomas Sowell that minimum wage has held many back who would otherwise have found employment somewhere. However if you're going to abolish minimum wage, you should definitely offer the unconditional safety net in the article.
Welfare is a complicated issue, the most I have been able to understand overall is that it definitely lowers poverty, but its long-term effect on culture in poor communities has been to create a culture of dependence, disenfranchisement, and out-of-wedlock parenthood. The last one seems to perpetuate the first two. This may rapidly change with the internet disrupting education and other sectors, and I hope it does.
I definitely agree about the War on Drugs, and I think the disparity in who gets busted for it is explained in large part by just where police departments focus their efforts. In a rich neighborhood you can get away with stuff that would be stupid to try in poorer areas - for example, walking down the street at high noon smoking a blunt. Good luck getting away with that in the poorer areas where you'll find a cop who's trying to fill quotas around every corner. Related to this is the fact that you're likely to find higher numbers of police officers stationed at schools in poorer areas.
I agree with a lot of what you say here, but I really have no authority to comment on long term effects of welfare or the state of huge cities like NYC (as well as the East Coast in general).
yeah, "rape" was a typo. but the "ghetto" is a creation of demographic changes imposed decades ago by systematically racist housing policy, not pop music
BI, does not remove the benefit from traditional employment. Rather it removes the bureaucracy and cutoffs around traditional government benefits. Currently, you get no benefits if your disabled for 5 months and a significant check if it's 6 months. With BI, you get the same money either way, and while it's probably less than the 6 month benefit the risk reduction is worth a lot.
Better yet, get laid off and want to try making iOS apps? Just do it, your benefits are unaffected if you want to start a company.
Now, the downside is currently upper middle class people get higher disability benefits/social security payments. With BI that goes away, society does not care how old you are or what you made you get the same basic income as everyone else. So you better have savings if you want keep living in a high cost of living area.
Free market principles still apply: if all plumbers retire when BI starts then the price people are willing to pay to hire a plumber will increase until somebody decides it's worth doing again. What if it becomes impossible for you to hire a plumber? Well, that would be the sound of opportunity knocking ;)
Kind of... I don't think a basic income would be much of a de-motivator that large swaths of the population would stop working. The social status that came from having an important job would still motivate people, indeed even more so if money was removed as a way to differentiate people.
I would argue that the current institution of work is what causes laziness. When people day in and day out go to work for 8 or more hours a day to a job they hate. When they come home, there is nothing left but wanting to be "lazy". I suspect that this trait is learned in our current environment.
With BI, there are going to be some people who use it as an excuse to slack off. They're not ambitious or energetic and, relieved of the need to make something of their lives, they probably won't do much. That's true.
Here's a question: how much are they doing right now? My guess: not much. Given the high rate of unemployment that exists already, it seems like society's value for unskilled work is pretty low already. So I don't think the bulk loss to society in having the least ambitious ~10-20% slack off is that bad, especially if a large number of people are more engaged in their work.
Parasites at the bottom of society are pretty harmless. Parasites at the top, on the other hand, are extremely damaging. We have a lot of the second kind. Because people have to work and most need a steady income that just barely meets expenses, that pretty much means they end up in a subordinate role, there's a class of useless people called "executives" who have total control over the economy (and mediocritize it, because it's best for their positional stability to do so) because people are terrified of losing the jobs and incomes.
If there's a trade-off between having more parasites at the bottom of society who don't work vs. having more parasites at the top who ruin others' work, I'd take the former, hands down.
I'm always surprised that people don't bring up the Netherlands, which essentially has a BI. If you see a homeless person on the street here you can be sure they're either a drug addict or a mental patient, both on the street by choice rather than necessity.
We indeed have a parasitic class, for a large degree consisting of immigrants who don't share our culture and consider depending on BI 'awesome' rather than shameful as Dutch people do.
The effects of our version of BI aren't actually that pronounced, and the main thing is actually a feeling of comfort, safety and an increased willingness to cooperate (as opposed to compete.)
Now a single piece of data from a single country doesn't imply anything, but according to the OECD we work the least yet are the most productive country (per capita, not working hour.) Intuitively and emotionally I would attribute that to our BI / socialist state.
>We indeed have a parasitic class, for a large degree consisting of immigrants who don't share our culture and consider depending on BI 'awesome' rather than shameful as Dutch people do.
Citation needed. The amount of racism people seem to allow themselves recently makes it feel like we've dragged society back 100 years.
It's a well established fact that a much larger percentage of non-Western immigrants is unemployed compared to Western immigrants and/or locals. [1] [2]
As I'm excluding the people inside that group who wish to work but can't find a job from my definition of a 'parasitic' class; that leaves just the group of immigrants that do intentionally live off of our welfare system.
On a higher level, I actually still believe that this is a net-positive since I'm convinced that if you leave these people on benefits after a while they'll start getting bored and/or being self-directed.
My main concern lies with public antipathy against this (relatively small) subclass growing to levels where it endangers the Dutch welfare system itself, as evidenced by the rise of politicians like Geert Wilders.
I don't think the argument was against the first part of your claim (there is a "parasitic" class, in that they are chronically unemployed and reliant on welfare) - this much is obvious at face value even outside of the Netherlands. Immigrants, by the very fact that they're people who have chosen to abandon everything they know to go to a different place, are by and large much poorer than the locals, and much less employable.
That's not really the citation needed part.
The citation needed part is:
> "who don't share our culture and consider depending on BI 'awesome' rather than shameful as Dutch people do"
This is the part that rtpg cites as being racist. You've gone from observing a fact to speculating on its causes, and the answer you've arrived at is "because they're lazier" - which as an argument is hundreds of years old and has been used against a laundry list of races. It was a key part of Social Darwinism, and one of the justifications for eugenics.
The Italians, the Irish, the Chinese, blacks in the US, etc etc, have all been subject to this argument in the past. The list goes on, and considering how common this argument is, and how frequently it has been debunked, the bar for evidence is high for many of us to be convinced.
Side note: it's frequently shocking to me how racist Europe can be to non-Europeans. And here I thought the USA had a bad case of racism - but the diversity seems to at least make people a little more aware, and the country's ugly history with it also sweeps a few common, easy-to-debunk arguments off the board. Around here the "oh, they're just lazier" argument would never go unchallenged if uttered in public, but yours is not the first time I've heard a European utter the notion as if it's the most natural conclusion in the world.
> yours is not the first time I've heard a European utter the notion as if it's the most natural conclusion in the world.
Perhaps you remember our little debate about Somalis in Finland? Do you remember losing it?
You still don't get it. Europe has no problem with immigrants who come here and support themselves and adapt to our societies, but Europe does very much have a problem with Muslim immigrants.
They come here because they know they can just waltz in and start living on welfare. But they don't want to adapt to their host countries. Instead, they want the West to adapt to them. Here's a bunch of Muslims in Sweden, being shown a video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHsTIDekFGM .. Can you guess why it started with police officers present in the room? -Why that's precisely because the organizers knew the video would make Muslims go apeshit.
And go apeshit they did. Right away. Listen to them frantically shouting "allahu akbar" and think about what's going on. What's going through their minds? Is this kind of behaviour suitable for a civilized society? What would your reaction to that video have been? Do you think it warranted raging and attacking people?
This is not about racism. It's about facing reality and seeing it for what it is, even despite our governments' efforts to hide it. Again, we have no problem with immigrants who support themselves and behave in a civilized way. It's just that we have way too many who don't.
Thank you. You seem level-headed enough about your points, and I can agree with them with the caveat they tread very close to the dividing line between politics and race.
white_devil on the other hand seems like he'd be more comfortable on Stormfront than HN.
> You seem level-headed enough about your points, and I can agree with them with the caveat they tread very close to the dividing line between politics and race
Yeah, I know. You're a bit confused. Originally you wanted to call him a racist, but then he changed his tone to be politically correct enough to make such accusations look foolish, even in the eyes of other hypersensitive sheeple.
You need to come to terms with reality. For example, the implications of a room full of Muslims going apeshit over a video should be clear to anyone, even if they reflect negatively on a group of people.
> I don't approve of generalising about religion and people like this
You may not approve of "generalizing about religion", but they did, in fact, go apeshit exactly as predicted (through a filthy generalization, no less).
> and I don't agree with the points you're trying to make.
Then perhaps you think going apeshit over a video and attacking people is suitable behaviour for a civilized society? Or perhaps your reaction would have been the same?
> The video also seems like a carefully crafted media stunt designed to make a point.
That's right. The point they successfully made was: "These people are not fit for a civilized society.".
> You've gone from observing a fact to speculating on its causes, and the answer you've arrived at is "because they're lazier"
I think you're both taking my initial comment which meant to refer to a specific subset of immigrants and interpreting it as if I meant to apply it to all immigrants.
> Yours is not the first time I've heard a European utter the notion as if it's the most natural conclusion in the world.
We indeed consider it self evident that a welfare system like ours is fragile and prone to abuse by people who intend not to contribute. That's just about acknowledging that lazy people exist everywhere and that to maintain stability of our system we need to make sure not to disproportionately attract them.
My original comment also referred to a recent public policy issue relating to a specific immigration policy (family reunion) being abused to bring large groups of people into the country who were not looking for jobs, not learning Dutch and forming insular foreign communities that structurally lived off of the welfare system.
We're talking about only a couple hundred or thousand people at most and as stated I actually believed even that was still a net-positive overall, but that is the only thing I would truly classify a parasitic class.
P.S. There is indeed plenty of racism to go around in Europe as well. Racists, like lazy people, are everywhere.
In almost all countries (including non-White countries) "immigrants" when used as a pejorative is code-word for race.
When Americans complain about "immigrants", they sure as shit don't mean Gunther from Germany, they mean Juan from Mexico or Chang from Korea. Europe is not immune from this - France as a whole seems much more staunchly racist (or rather, accepting of casual racism) than the USA.
Racism has many faces, especially today where it's now taboo. There are all kinds of ways that racism manifests in modern, developed society without someone screaming "he's black! get him!".
> If there's a trade-off between having more parasites at the bottom of society who don't work vs. having more parasites at the top who ruin others' wor
Nonono, you have it backwards. We NEED more parasites! The supply of labor exceeds demand right now which sends the price to 0 (minimum wage paints the problem a different color but doesn't fix anything). We need to decrease the supply of labor so that the market can start pricing it rationally again.
If everybody stops working, the price of services skyrockets. But the problem (soaring cost of services) and the solution (soaring reward for labor) are one and the same. This is how the free market is supposed to work. In fact, I'd go so far to say that BI presents a closer approximation to a free market than the system we have now (where the government price-controls labor).
>The supply of labor exceeds demand right now which sends the price to 0
That's not quite how prices work. There is always a demand for labor. If the price of labor fell low enough there would be plenty of jobs. Though no one would want to work at those wages, it's even illegal to do so. The point is just that the price will never really fall to zero, even if it gets low.
>If everybody stops working, the price of services skyrockets. But the problem (soaring cost of services) and the solution (soaring reward for labor) are one and the same. This is how the free market is supposed to work. In fact, I'd go so far to say that BI presents a closer approximation to a free market than the system we have now (where the government price-controls labor).
That's not the intention of guaranteed minimum income at all, and not a good thing either. You are just cutting off one place (higher prices) to feed the other (higher wages). At least if I understand what you mean correctly, which I'm not sure. But the idea of the system is that it will balance out wealth disparities over time, but not too unfairly on people who do succeed. As well as provide a safety net. And get rid of all the bad incentives and complications created by other systems which attempt to do the same.
That's not the intention of guaranteed minimum income at all
Aside: there's a difference between "guaranteed minimum income" and "basic income", at least as I've seen them discussed here on HN. As I understand it, an $X guaranteed minimum income encourages laziness because the first $X worth of one's labor is essentially wasted. Basic income, on the other hand, is added to whatever a person earns from labor, so there's no disincentive to work.
> Nonono, you have it backwards. We NEED more parasites! The supply of labor exceeds demand right now which sends the price to 0 (minimum wage paints the problem a different color but doesn't fix anything). We need to decrease the supply of labor so that the market can start pricing it rationally again.
We need to fix the market in a new way, so that the market can be free? What the what?!
A free market is one where price accurately reflects the mix of supply and demand.
A free market is NOT and NEVER one where supply and demand are manipulated to produce a "better" result.
You are arguing supply side good, demand side bad but consider zooming out and asking first if manipulation of either variable will really produce a predictable, desirable result.
I've heard lot of arguments that say "but this is GOOD market manipulation" but it always ends in tears.
Supply and demand will always win out in the end. The market is faster, smarter and stronger than you.
The winners are the ones that can ride the waves, see what the result of manipulation this way to that will be, and position themselves accordingly. Increasing the ability of the participants in the system to react in these ways makes the system more rational, and in turn more stable.
Juicing one variable or the other makes people build knowledge/lives/decisions on a pseudo foundation that will eventually be undercut by market forces. It teaches people the wrong things and makes the system less rational and therefore more bubble prone.
I think the argument you quoted (and it looks like your reply somehow got attached to the wrong post) was implying that the supply of labor is unnaturally inflated by requiring people to work to eat. Basic income, the argument proceeds, would allow unwilling suppliers of labor (the "wage slaves") to drop out of the market, as they naturally would if they weren't forced to participate. There would no longer be a need for a minimum wage at that point (since all wages earned go on top of a basic income), so the supply, demand, and price of labor could reach their true equilibrium.
> That's not quite how prices work. There is always a demand for labor. If the price of labor fell low enough there would be plenty of jobs. Though no one would want to work at those wages, it's even illegal to do so. The point is just that the price will never really fall to zero, even if it gets low.
Yes, I was being sloppy with terminology. The price wouldn't fall exactly to zero and minimum wage appears to stop it well above 0 but unemployment makes up the difference. This is quibbling and distracts from the analysis.
> hat's not the intention of guaranteed minimum income at all, and not a good thing either. You are just cutting off one place (higher prices) to feed the other (higher wages). At least if I understand what you mean correctly, which I'm not sure.
I don't know what you mean by "cutting off one place." If you mean that the prices of some services would go up in this picture, you're exactly right, but that's the point -- the prices would better reflect the desirability of the labor required to produce the good. The flip side of that is that undesirable labor gets payed better under the BI system and then there is the BI itself. What good are low prices if wages are even lower?
I don't consider it abstractly good for someone to live on society, while able to work, and not working. However, the cost of that is pennies compared to what we pay by having terrible leadership (parasites at the top).
> Given the high rate of unemployment that exists already, it seems like society's value for unskilled work is pretty low already.
For some reason, I can't seem to explain this concept to many people. We currently have a large population of people who want to work but do not have work. If systems like BI make some of those people (or people who do have jobs) not want to work, that is not a problem; because we would still have more people who want to work than we need.
Systems like BI literally give us a sliding scale to control the incentive to work.
Here's a question: how much are they doing right now? My guess: not much.
That's because in the US we have BI of about $20k/year [1]. They don't need to work, so they don't.
In India and other locales with minimal/negligable BI, they do domestic labor and other such tasks (at least in urban areas, rural locales are another game entirely).
There is no good reason any software engineer or other high skill individual should do laundry or clean their own house. It's a complete waste of their time. It's merely the perverse incentives created by our BI system (and other labor market rigidities) that cause this to happen.
[1] No matter how low a person's earned income is, their consumption is about $20k. ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/ce/standard/2009/income.txt
>Sometimes I wonder, though, if we invented institutional Work to justify mediocrity, and make it OK. It's often portrayed as an oppression brought in by deceptive, aggressive Boss Men; but I also think people willingly participate because it's a way to substitute mediocre/subordinate social acceptance for the much more intermittent reward/thrill of genuine work.
Very interesting hypothesis. If true, it would answer a lot of questions about poor performance of large organizations and also explain to me why so many people I have worked with are comfortable with said mediocrity.
actually a thing I've noticed in Japan (lifetime employment AND labor shortage) is there's a lot of silly 'institutional work' that is created for less capable members of certain groups. For example, guys whose only job is to just say "be careful please" around construction sites all day long. It's weird, but in a way it ensures these guys can still get some income.
> I also think people willingly participate because it's a way to substitute mediocre/subordinate social acceptance for the much more intermittent reward/thrill of genuine work.
The drive to seek "intermittent rewards/thrills" isn't universal. Specifically, in people with naturally low dopamine responsivity[1][2], it's almost non-existent. Within this group, you don't tend to see anyone who enjoys casinos and/or casual-social-mobile games, for example; they experience no dopamine hit from one session, so they aren't drawn to replay.
There's a categorization system of psychological reward profiles, originally derived from MMO play-styles, called the Bartle test (http://www.mud.co.uk/richard/hcds.htm). Of the four Bartle types, people with low dopamine responsivity are almost never "Achievers"--instead tending to focus on the other three. Here's the description of the category:
> Achievers regard points-gathering and rising in levels as their main goal, and all is ultimately subserviant to this. Exploration is necessary only to find new sources of treasure, or improved ways of wringing points from it. Socialising is a relaxing method of discovering what other players know about the business of accumulating points, that their knowledge can be applied to the task of gaining riches. Killing is only necessary to eliminate rivals or people who get in the way, or to gain vast amounts of points (if points are awarded for killing other players).
In a business context, people who aren't Achievers are almost[3] inherently MacLeod "Losers."
---
[1] Low dopamine responsivity is diagnosed around 7% of the time as ADD/ADHD. It is so widely prevalent in modern populations, though, that many doctors refuse to recognize, diagnose, or treat for that condition, dismissing it as "a healthy psychological state which just doesn't mesh very well with the expectations of the labor market." However, you will frequently find that someone treated for ADD/ADHD, whether or not it is a real condition, will become a Bartle "Achiever" where they previously were not.
[2] People who have had chronically-low dopamine responsivity their whole lives also tend, more than the median member of the population, to self-identify as either "nerds" or "creatives" (or both.) When you don't derive any internal "rush" from competing with others (whether "doing the sports" or "going into finance" or "making the sale"), you tend to need to "make your own fun"--which leads to such pursuits as programming, science-fiction, and Minecraft; or to painting, writing, composing, et al. There is a reason, besides their market value, that an MBA in a down market will "hustle", while an Illustration-major will work as a barrista.
[3] The "Explorer" play-style/reward-profile gives them the ability to also be "Technocrats" (in your terminology), though.
> The drive to seek "intermittent rewards/thrills" isn't universal.
Perhaps not, but so long as the market can offer something to everyone people will still have incentive to work. Basic Income doesn't mean you can afford everything without working.
The market is extraordinarily good at producing carrots yet we seem hell-bent on using sticks. I think there's room to improve on that front.
Right, I didn't mean to suggest that the MacLeod "Losers" will drop out of the labor market entirely--just that their participation will shift dramatically.
For a lot of them, for example, they'll see this as their chance to switch from feigning interest in Achievement-based work, to genuinely striving at Explorational work: likely in the form of making (and perhaps trying to sell) artistic works all day, or doing original mathematical/scientific/philosophical research.
I imagine that you'll see a sudden glut of Great American Novels, itch-scratching open-source software, and enough treatise to compare to Venice in the 1600s, but relatively few dishwashers. :)
We might also see a resurgence in Social work: people who can now afford to spend all day doing volunteer work for various causes. I'm unsure as to the impact of this, but it would probably be a minor revolution and solve several "just needs more bodies" welfare problems (like getting everyone immunized for things, or having an appropriate number of daycares/preschools.)
Don't you think that's a much healthier configuration than what we have now? I like the idea of rewarding grunt work more than we presently do. After all, if wages of dishwashers get high enough, we might just have to invent a machine to do it for us, no?
Besides, even Great American Novelists have use for money. They could buy equipment for a roadtrip, buy a nicer computer for writing, buy services that help them focus on more writing (e.g. pay other people to be dishwashers), and so on. In turn, this gives them incentive to work. It's capitalism as usual, it just doesn't fetishize the 40 hour workweek.
EDIT: just saw you added social work to your list. You're beating me at my own game, perhaps I'd better stop preaching to the choir?
In light of this article (and this comment thread), what we're seeing at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5655243, previous reading I've done, and my increasing exasperation at supply-side solutions for economic troubles that don't seem to be particularly on the supply side...
About rewarding grunt work more, that's also the idea on which the work is distributed in the utopian community described in Skinner's Walden Two:
"About four labor credits are required per day, which translates to anywhere from two to six hours of work depending on the number of credits that are awarded per hour for a given job. Unpleasant jobs, like cleaning sewers, are given higher credit values than easy ones. Members are free to choose their jobs each day, except those that require special training, like medicine."
I recommend that book. (I read it when I was a teenager, more than twenty years ago.)
I do not understand your comment. Do you know of any salary whose amount depends on how pleasant/unpleasant the job is? The idea here is that unpleasant jobs, i.e. jobs that most of the people do not want to do, are paid more. I don't think this is the case in our current society.
I'm pretty sure Dr Bartle would object to generalizing HCDS out to the general population.
Also, to 'lifeisstillgood, Bartle actually expands on his paradigm in the book Designing Virtual Worlds, where he introduces another axis for the four types (bringing it to eight) and also specifies two progressions between the types as players grow.
> " ... We found that individual differences in [dopamine] function in the left striatum and ventromedial prefrontal cortex were correlated with a willingness to expend greater effort for larger rewards, particularly when probability of reward receipt was low. ... "
You could argue that this mechanism is a neurochemical amplifier of entrepreneurial behavior.
this is interesting research but describing it as "a neurochemical amplifier of entrepreneurial behavior" is both premature & absurdly reductive - the equivalent of people referring to oxytocin as "the love hormone". and I don't see a solid ADD/ADHD connection
I want to see BI not because I have an interest in not working. Rather, I want it to free people to work. Work is too important (both as a human need, and as a productive force in society) to leave it in the hands of the entrenched boss men who currently own Work.
It would be such an excuse-killer, too, to implement BI and get rid of compulsory labor. People could no longer justify making so little of their lives due to having to work. Now, it turns out to still be quite hard to make something of one's life but, when that excuse is gone, the only thing to say is "Yes, it's hard; but go on, do it."
Sometimes I wonder, though, if we invented institutional Work to justify mediocrity, and make it OK. It's often portrayed as an oppression brought in by deceptive, aggressive Boss Men; but I also think people willingly participate because it's a way to substitute mediocre/subordinate social acceptance for the much more intermittent reward/thrill of genuine work. Boss men definitely were more principal in driving Work to its current state, but it was a coevolution.