It’s been happening since the dawn of time, fat client/thin client, static link/dynamic link, micro services/monolith, centralised/decentralised, it doesn’t just migrate from one to the other, the pendulum swings back and forwards, and will do for eternity.
You can be all angry about it, but being angry at the storm doesn’t affect the storm, it only affects you. A lot. Negatively.
The trick is to position yourself to maximally profit from the next trend swing, I’ve been doing it for 20 years now, if you can predict where the next place is gold will fall from the sky, then go and stand there, with a really big bucket.
I always found it strange that there is a certain type of intellect who is capable of accurate observation of reality, but incapable of execution (sometimes called “the disconnected intellect”), they can tell you exactly the problem, and the solution, but sit angry/frustrated that the observed world doesn’t match some imagined ideal in their head, and rather than adapt their internal model and be entrepreneurial enough to capture the value that generates, they bleet and complain while losing all opportunities - opportunities they can see! I can’t imagine being like this.
I have ridden these fads for the last 25 years (well actually longer - I had a different career first!) and made a fuck load of money out of it. But I am tired of it now. I really don't care any more.
I am fed up of solving the same problems again and again. It's more than just earning; there's intellectual dishonesty in this and it's tiring and demotivating.
Sounds like you need to move up maslow's hierarchy of needs and focus more on self actualization (or whatever if upwards for you) ... because your posts are full of negativity and you sound miserable.
Good for you and congratulations! I hope to do the same some day, but I need at very least 10 more years (no, this is not an advice for FIRE enthusiasts to chip in with tips or help, thank you).
> The trick is to position yourself to maximally profit from the next trend swing, I’ve been doing it for 20 years now, if you can predict where the next place is gold will fall from the sky, then go and stand there, with a really big bucket.
Where the pendulum will be in 2030? Asking for a friend :D
I'm out of the market then so I'll drop what I think will be the situation:
Put everything on: cost savings, energy reduction, privacy, death of advertising.
Cost savings -> inefficient languages and architectures will die because the main datacentre currency is going to be performance/watt and that's going to cost serious money when transport infra is contending with DC power consumption. Things which are compiled and not interpreted will have a cost benefit then. Rust/C# (with AOT)/Go etc. Half these bloated piles of shit with expensive build toolchains will die too.
Energy reduction -> linked with above, energy usage reduction is going to be a big one. That means reducing workforce, simplification and efficiency are going to be key drivers. This may kill some ML approaches off that consume a lot of energy. So ARM etc.
Privacy -> Confidence in surveillance states and the cloud is declining so privacy first oriented services are going to have a huge uptick. Apple / standalone systems / new opportunities.
Death of advertising -> advertising is in the death throes with AI coming in as it decreased the signal-to-noise ratio. It becomes less effective so discovery rather than promotion will be the way to get attention for your product. Portals / landing pages / software catalogues.
Me I'd concentrate on cloud cost management and code efficiency and business efficiency as key areas to invest my time in.
You can be all angry about it, but being angry at the storm doesn’t affect the storm, it only affects you. A lot. Negatively.
The trick is to position yourself to maximally profit from the next trend swing, I’ve been doing it for 20 years now, if you can predict where the next place is gold will fall from the sky, then go and stand there, with a really big bucket.
I always found it strange that there is a certain type of intellect who is capable of accurate observation of reality, but incapable of execution (sometimes called “the disconnected intellect”), they can tell you exactly the problem, and the solution, but sit angry/frustrated that the observed world doesn’t match some imagined ideal in their head, and rather than adapt their internal model and be entrepreneurial enough to capture the value that generates, they bleet and complain while losing all opportunities - opportunities they can see! I can’t imagine being like this.