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Stepping down peacefully in 5 years seems pretty unlikely. Stepping down peacefully in about 10 years, in favor of a younger leader who's amassed political power either within or outside of his camp seems entirely possible. Some previous examples of a rival taking power peacefully in China or the USSR are with Brezhnev displacing Khruschev and Deng Xiaoping displacing Hua Guofeng.

I don't think Xi Jingping was really an open rival to Hu Jintao, but the nature of these sort of authoritarian governments is the rivalry is not really made open until the point at which the power transition happens, even if it obvious to those behind the scenes. A rival usually careful cultivates political support while openly declaring support for the leader until he has enough support to gain power. Certainly the way Xi Jingping has behaved toward the Hu Jintao/Jiang Zemin faction and the policies he has pushed indicate he is rivals with them.

But really, the main point of my comment was rejecting the assertion that it is impossible for peaceful transitions of power to occur in countries like China. As long as a country has a norm that removal from leadership does not lead to physical harm, peaceful transitions of power are possible. I'm not trying to create a false equivalency between these governments and liberal democracies.



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